Demographic Projections: User and Producer Experiences of Adopting a Stochastic Approach

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Title

Demographic Projections: User and Producer Experiences of Adopting a Stochastic Approach

Content partner

Directory of Open Access Journals

Collection

Directory of Open Access Journals

Description

Statistics New Zealand is one of the few national statistical agencies to have applied a stochastic (probabilistic) approach to official demographic projections. This article discusses the experience and benefits of adopting this new approach, including the perspective of a key user of projections, the New Zealand Treasury. Our experience is that the change is less difficult to make than might be expected. Uncertainty in the different projection inputs (components) can be modelled simply or w...

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Format

Research paper

Date created

2016-12-01

Creator

Dunstan Kim / Ball Christopher

Contributing partner

Journal of Official Statistics

URL

http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jos.2016.32.issue-4/jos-2016-0050/jos-2016-0050.xml?format=INT

Related subjects

Population / projection / stochastic / uncertainty / Statistics

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