Research paper
Introducing Stories Into Downward Counterfactual Analysis: Examples From a Potential Mediterranean Disaster
About this item
- Title
- Introducing Stories Into Downward Counterfactual Analysis: Examples From a Potential Mediterranean Disaster
- Content partner
- University of Canterbury Library
- Collection
- UC Research Repository
- Description
How to recognise potential disasters is a question at the centre of risk analysis. Over-reliance on an incomplete, often epistemologically-biased, historical record, and a focus on quantified and quantifiable risks, have contributed to unanticipated disasters dominating both casualties and financial losses in the first part of the 21st century. Here we present the findings of an online workshop implementing a new scenario-planning method, called downward counterfactual analysis, which is desi...
- Format
- Research paper
- Research format
- Journal article
- Date created
- 2022
- Creator
- Walshe R / Baker H / van Soest H / Dryhurst S / Taylor ARE / Penney, Camilla
- URL
- https://hdl.handle.net/10092/103745
- Related subjects
- risk analysis / downward counterfactual / disasters / Eastern Mediterranean / earthquake / tsunami / Black Swan / uncertainty / Earth sciences / Physical geography and environmental geoscience / Natural hazards / Engineering / Engineering practice and education / Risk engineering / Human society / Development studies / Humanitarian disasters, conflict and peacebuilding / Environmental engineering / Health and ecological risk assessment
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University of Canterbury Library has this to say about the rights status of this item:
Copyright © 2022 Penney, Walshe, Baker, van Soest, Dryhurst and Taylor. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
You can learn more about the rights status of this item at: http://hdl.handle.net/10092/17651
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What can I do with this item?
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Report this itemDigitalNZ brings together more than 30 million items from institutions so that they are easy to find and use. This information is the best information we could find on this item. This item was added on 02 June 2022, and updated 01 March 2025.
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